The Interfutures Study of 1979 Revisited

This article is published in Futuribles journal no.396, sept.-oct. 2013

Around 35 years ago a vast foresight exercise was launched under the auspices of the OECD. It led in 1979 to the publication of an almost 500-page report on the future of the world (economy, societies, North-South relations, interdependence etc.) as it might be anticipated at the time. This exercise, which was carried out under the leadership of Jacques Lesourne and dubbed the Interfutures study, was an international landmark in the history of foresight studies. This was partly because of its ambitious nature and partly on account of its determinedly qualitative stance, being based on scenario-building and recommendations for political action. Bruno Hérault goes back over the history of Interfutures here –the context in which it was developed, the organization of the study and the tenor of the report it produced (in particular, the scenarios proposed and the recommendations to those in government). He goes on to show how the programme turned out to be quite clear-sighted about the development of societies and globalization, which was only just emerging at the time. He concludes by highlighting the strengths and limitations of the method employed.
#Prospective #Prospective (méthode) #Rétroprospective

Inscrivez-vous à la newsletter

Tous les mois, recevez une sélection de nos dernières publications, des prochaines formations et des événements à venir. Et ponctuellement des informations sur les activités de Futuribles.


Votre adresse de messagerie est uniquement utilisée pour vous envoyer la newsletter de Futuribles. Vous pouvez à tout moment utiliser le lien de désabonnement intégré dans la newsletter. En savoir plus sur la gestion de vos données et vos droits.


Futuribles International est un centre de réflexion sur l’avenir.
Ses travaux visent à comprendre les grandes transformations en cours. Ils intègrent la dimension du temps long en insistant sur les marges de manœuvre des acteurs et les stratégies possibles.