“Who among us knows that, despite the conflicts and crises characterizing the region, the countries bordering the Mediterranean are working together on a ‘Common Action Programme for the Mediterranean’?” asked Serge Antoine in this journal in 1989, Antoine being the man who played a pioneering role in that programme and created its French strand, the Plan Bleu, that was responsible, from the outset, for developing foresight in the environmental and development fields.
As part of that assignment, early in 2025 the Plan Bleu published La Méditerranée à l’horizon 2050 [The Mediterranean to 2050], a particularly welcome foresight exercise given the diversity of the region and the challenges it faces as a result of geopolitical context, climate change, the evolution of its biodiversity and the requirement for solidarity between its inhabitants. The article provides as account of that exercise, including the scenarios developed within it, stressing, among other things, the way they complement, confirm or refute the lessons of earlier foresight reports on the Mediterranean region. The highly contrasting scenarios show the dangers threatening the region, but also the opportunities that exist for the determined implementation of a sustainable development strategy.
The article is downloadable only in French. It is not available in English.
