Prospective and Strategic Foresight Toolbox

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Corinne Roëls
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croels@futuribles.com
Tél. +33 (0)1 53 63 37 71







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Document étude

Analysis of Competing Hypotheses

Par

Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) is an intelligence analysis method based on evaluating plausible and exclusive hypotheses for a given question. It involves validating or invalidating hypotheses using available information; i.e., observed facts or existing data that essentially represent evidence for or against each hypothesis. Through a logical elimination process, ACH seeks primarily to refute rather than validate hypotheses.
In short, it helps select those hypotheses compatible with the available information and retrieve the best possible estimate. ACH resembles ...

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