Rapport
Unexpected, Unforeseen, Unplanned: Scenarios of International Foreign and Security Policy. Foresight Contributions 2015

Based on a review by Corinne Roëls
This report, which is the third foresight-related publication by the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP, which describes itself ‘a German Institute for International and Security Affairs’), is on the subject of ‘grey swans’.
Grey swans are the cousins of the black swans, those unpredictable events which seemed highly improbable and yet proved to have major consequences. Since 2007, when Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s book The Black Swan was published, strategists have taken the ...
(encore 231 mots)
Adhérer à l'association
Accédez à cette analyse critique en devenant membre de Futuribles International !
AdhérerÀ lire également
- La Clé USB (11/09/2019)
- What do We Want France to be Like in Ten Years’ Time? Issues for the Coming Decade (gratuit) (20/09/2014)
- Katrina et la prospective (1/12/2005)