{"id":99332,"date":"2024-08-23T06:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-08-23T04:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/une-revue-des-risques-existentiels-mondiaux\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T14:11:13","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T13:11:13","slug":"une-revue-des-risques-existentiels-mondiaux","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/une-revue-des-risques-existentiels-mondiaux\/","title":{"rendered":"A review of global existential risks"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class='post-container'>\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/seri.stanford.edu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Stanford Existential Risks Initiative<\/a> is a collaborative work between faculty members and students. It aims to mitigate global existential risks (or \u2018x-risks\u2019), such as pandemics or nuclear proliferation. The possible cascading effects between x-risks is one of the main areas of research. In 2023, the third annual Stanford X-Risks Conference took place to present the research carried out as part of this initiative.<\/h6>\n\n\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"gs-container in-content-also\">\n  <div class=\"gs-row u-flex u-align-items-start\">\n    <div class=\"gs-flush-column @lg:-push-1 @lg:gs-column-7 @wd:gs-column-6 @wd:gs-push-2\">\n      <p>A vast majority of the articles introduced below deal with the cascading effects between x-risks. They do so through a variety of subjects (ecological collapse, artificial intelligence, nuclear risks, biosafety) and a multidisciplinary approach.<\/p>\n<p>A publication (\u2018<a href=\"https:\/\/purl.stanford.edu\/wv139gy0377\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Expanding the Field of Existential Risk Studies<\/a>\u2019) summarises all the papers presented at the conference:<\/p>\n<p><strong>The first section of articles focuses on the identification and characterisation of x-risk typologies, and the related epistemological challenges:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u201cShould Epistemic Security Be a Priority GCR [Global Catastrophic Risk] Cause Area?\u201d by Elizabeth Seger: studies epistemic threats such as polarisation and disinformation.<\/li>\n<li>\u201cManiacs, Misanthropes, and Omnicidal Terrorists: Reassessing the Agential Risk Framework\u201d, by \u00c9mile P. Torres: looks at the \u201cagential\u201d risks that arise when individuals who wish to destroy the world find themselves in a position to do so.<\/li>\n<li>\u201cPsychological Fragility: An Overlooked Existential Risk\u201d, by Dana Klisanin: explores the fragility of the human psyche.<\/li>\n<li>\u201cPsychological and Psychosocial Consequences of Super Disruptive A.I.: Public Health Implications and Recommendations\u201d, by David D. Luxton and Eleanor Watson: focuses on the psychosocial impacts of artificial intelligence (AI).<\/li>\n<li>\u201cScience, Delusion, and Existential Risk\u201d, by Andrew Nepomuceno: highlights the gap between beliefs and scientific realities, resulting in mass blindness and inaction.<\/li>\n<li>\u00a0\u201cAn Axiology of Aesthetics for Existential Risk\u201d, by Ishan Raval: is a plea for an aesthetic reading of the world and x-risks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"gs-flush-column @lg:gs-column-5 @wd:gs-column-4 u-flex u-align-items-start u-sticky article-card\">\n      <div class=\"wrapper u-width-100% u-flex-column u-relative\">\n        <span class=\"c-red t-base-small u-margin-b-2\">Voir aussi<\/span>\n        <div class=\"card card--post \">\n  <div class=\"masonry-item item-withImage\">\n          <span class=\"u-margin-b-2 u-block card--post__image\">\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/le-climat-la-justice-et-la-democratie\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"598\" height=\"366\" src=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/OGodard_shutterstock_2336992401_chayanuphol.jpg\" class=\"u-img center-landscapeImg\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a>\n  <\/span>\n        <span class=\"t-post-5 u-margin-b-1 u-block c-red\">\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/le-climat-la-justice-et-la-democratie\/\">Climate, Justice and Democracy<\/a>\n              <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/themes\/futurible\/dist\/images\/pay_circle.svg\" class=\"v-align-sub u-margin-l-1 icon-pay\"\/>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/le-climat-la-justice-et-la-democratie\/\" class=\"button-rounded  bg-red c-white u-margin-l-1\">\n      <svg class=\"u-icon-24 c-white u-flex u-align-items-center u-justify-content-center\">\n  <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/themes\/futurible\/dist\/images\/icon-lib.svg?version022025#arrow-right\"><\/use>\n<\/svg>\n    <\/a>\n  <\/span>\n          <div class=\"metas t-base-x-small u-flex u-flex-wrapping\">\n      <div class=\"u-margin-r-3 u-margin-t-1\">25 October 2024<\/div>\n                        <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/author-analyst\/godard-olivier-2\/\" class=\"u-margin-r-3 u-margin-t-1 t-underline\">GODARD Olivier<\/a>\n                            <div class=\"u-margin-t-1\">\n                      20 p.\n                  <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"tags u-flex u-flex-wrapping u-align-items-start\">\n              <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/category\/journal-article\/\" class=\"button tag border c-red t-base-small\">\n          <svg class=\"u-icon-16 u-margin-r-1\">\n  <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/themes\/futurible\/dist\/images\/icon-lib.svg?version022025#icon-post\"><\/use>\n<\/svg>\n\n          Journal Article\n        <\/a>\n                              <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/tag\/environnement-en\/\" class=\"button tag t-base-small\">Environment<\/a>\n                  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/tag\/societe-en\/\" class=\"button tag t-base-small\">Society<\/a>\n                  <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"@lg:gs-column-8 u-margin-auto\">\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The second category of articles addresses wider implications of cascading x-risks:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u201cNavigating Cascading Planetary Boundaries: A Framework to Secure the Future\u201d, Thomas Cernev: argues that the transgression of planetary boundaries will exacerbate known global x-risks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u201cAnthropocene under Dark Skies: The Compounding Effects of Nuclear Winter and Overstepped Planetary Boundaries\u201d, Florian Ulrich Jehn: focuses on risks cascade and the importance of the biosphere in the ability to survive a nuclear winter.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u201cIs Climate Change Ungovernable\u201d, Paul N. Edwards: calls for an understanding of the effects of climate change beyond 2100.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The third category of articles focuses on emerging technologies:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u201cInvestigating How Academic Researchers Engage with Dual-use Biosecurity Research\u201d, Sofya Lebedeva: highlights the risks and benefits of current research into dual-use biosecurity.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u201cExistential Risks Associated with Dual-use Technologies\u201d, Ashok Vaseashta: calls for dual-use technologies limitation through ethical measures, regulatory frameworks and international cooperation.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u201cFairness in AI and Its Long-term Implications on Society\u201d, by Ondrej Bohdal <em>et al.,: <\/em>highlights the predictive biases of most current AI systems.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u201cThe Looming Nuclear War\u201d, Jean-Pierre Dupuy: reminds us that there is always the threat of nuclear war.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"gs-container in-content-also\">\n  <div class=\"gs-row u-flex u-align-items-start\">\n    <div class=\"gs-flush-column @lg:-push-1 @lg:gs-column-7 @wd:gs-column-6 @wd:gs-push-2\">\n      <p><strong>The fourth category of articles deals with the way in which x-risks can lessen: <\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u201cCollective Intelligence as Infrastructure for Reducing Broad Global Catastrophic Risks\u201d, by Vicky Yang and Anders Sandberg: shows the impact of governments and scientific communities cooperation.<\/li>\n<li>\u201cConvergence on Existential Risk Policy\u201d, by Philip Arthur: identifies points of convergence between the techno-utopian approach and the pluralist approach in the shorter term.<\/li>\n<li>\u201cGoverning Anthropogenic Existential Risks (Envisioning Some New Approaches)\u201d, by Mariana Todorova: warns of the growing complexity and multiplication of risks, and encourages us to \u201cde-ideologise\u201d the future.<\/li>\n<li>\u201cThe Intergovernmental Panel on Global Catastrophic Risks\u201d, R.\u00a0Daniel Bressler and Jeff Alstott: advocates for the creation of an intergovernmental panel on x-risks.<\/li>\n<li>\u201cCrisis Government\u2019s Legitimacy Paradox: Foreseeability and Unobservable Success\u201d, by Daniel D. Slate: warns against a short-termist reading of risks.<\/li>\n<li>\u201cScenarios 2075: The Cascading Risks Study\u201d, Trond Arne Undheim: points out that humans face a myriad of technological, geopolitical and ecological risks, and proposes five scenarios for the future.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"gs-flush-column @lg:gs-column-5 @wd:gs-column-4 u-flex u-align-items-start u-sticky article-card\">\n      <div class=\"wrapper u-width-100% u-flex-column u-relative\">\n        <span class=\"c-red t-base-small u-margin-b-2\">Voir aussi<\/span>\n        <div class=\"card card--post \">\n  <div class=\"masonry-item item-withImage\">\n          <span class=\"u-margin-b-2 u-block card--post__image\">\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/perturbations-a-lhorizon\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"598\" height=\"366\" src=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/MMalenferDisruption_site_EN.jpg\" class=\"u-img center-landscapeImg\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/MMalenferDisruption_site_EN.jpg 598w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/MMalenferDisruption_site_EN-300x184.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/MMalenferDisruption_site_EN-320x196.jpg 320w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/MMalenferDisruption_site_EN-200x122.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/MMalenferDisruption_site_EN-540x331.jpg 540w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 598px) 100vw, 598px\" \/><\/a>\n  <\/span>\n        <span class=\"t-post-5 u-margin-b-1 u-block c-red\">\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/perturbations-a-lhorizon\/\">Disruptions on the Horizon<\/a>\n              <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/themes\/futurible\/dist\/images\/pay_circle.svg\" class=\"v-align-sub u-margin-l-1 icon-pay\"\/>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/perturbations-a-lhorizon\/\" class=\"button-rounded  bg-red c-white u-margin-l-1\">\n      <svg class=\"u-icon-24 c-white u-flex u-align-items-center u-justify-content-center\">\n  <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/themes\/futurible\/dist\/images\/icon-lib.svg?version022025#arrow-right\"><\/use>\n<\/svg>\n    <\/a>\n  <\/span>\n          <div class=\"metas t-base-x-small u-flex u-flex-wrapping\">\n      <div class=\"u-margin-r-3 u-margin-t-1\">3 July 2024<\/div>\n                        <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/author-analyst\/malenfer-marc\/\" class=\"u-margin-r-3 u-margin-t-1 t-underline\">MALENFER Marc<\/a>\n                            <div class=\"u-margin-t-1\">\n                      3 min.\n                  <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"tags u-flex u-flex-wrapping u-align-items-start\">\n              <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/category\/read-seen-heard\/\" class=\"button tag border c-red t-base-small\">\n          <svg class=\"u-icon-16 u-margin-r-1\">\n  <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/themes\/futurible\/dist\/images\/icon-lib.svg?version022025#icon-news\"><\/use>\n<\/svg>\n\n          Read, Seen, Heard\n        <\/a>\n                              <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/tag\/economie-et-emploi-en\/\" class=\"button tag t-base-small\">Economics<\/a>\n                  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/tag\/environnement-en\/\" class=\"button tag t-base-small\">Environment<\/a>\n                  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/tag\/geopolitique-en\/\" class=\"button tag t-base-small\">Geopolitics<\/a>\n                  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/tag\/societe-en\/\" class=\"button tag t-base-small\">Society<\/a>\n                  <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"@lg:gs-column-8 u-margin-auto\">\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span class=\"image-caption-component-legende\"><em>Reference: <\/em><span class=\"small-caps\">Undheim <\/span>Trond Arne and <span class=\"small-caps\">Zimmer <\/span>Daniel, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/purl.stanford.edu\/wv139gy0377\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Expanding the Field of Existential Risk Studies<\/a>\u201d, <em>in Intersections, Reinforcements, Cascades: Proceedings of the 2023 Stanford Existential Risks Conference<\/em>, The Stanford Existential Risks Initiative \/ Stanford Digital Repository, 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Stanford Existential Risks Initiative is a collaborative work between faculty members and students. It aims to mitigate global existential risks (or \u2018x-risks\u2019), such as pandemics or nuclear proliferation. The possible cascading effects between x-risks is one of the main areas of research. In 2023, the third annual Stanford X-Risks Conference took place to present &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/une-revue-des-risques-existentiels-mondiaux\/\">Continued<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":96995,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_robots_follow":"","_seopress_robots_imageindex":"","_seopress_robots_snippet":"","_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_robots_breadcrumbs":"","_seopress_robots_freeze_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_custom_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_canonical":"","_seopress_social_fb_title":"","_seopress_social_fb_desc":"","_seopress_social_fb_img":"","_seopress_social_fb_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_height":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_title":"","_seopress_social_twitter_desc":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_height":0,"_seopress_redirections_value":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled_regex":"","_seopress_redirections_logged_status":"both","_seopress_redirections_param":"","_seopress_redirections_type":301,"_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[136],"tags":[202,203,210],"keyword":[1479,968,1255,1048,1026,2684,2695,1088],"class_list":["post-99332","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-of-the-future","tag-environnement-en","tag-geopolitique-en","tag-science-et-technique-en","keyword-changement-climatique-en","keyword-catastrophes-en","keyword-ecosystemes-en","keyword-geopolitique-en","keyword-risques-en","keyword-science-research-methodology","keyword-systems","keyword-technologie-en"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99332","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99332"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99332\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":99338,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99332\/revisions\/99338"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96995"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99332"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99332"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99332"},{"taxonomy":"keyword","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/keyword?post=99332"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}