{"id":111041,"date":"2025-03-25T06:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-03-25T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/enjeux-economiques-de-la-transition-vers-la-neutralite-carbone\/"},"modified":"2025-05-19T14:46:51","modified_gmt":"2025-05-19T12:46:51","slug":"enjeux-economiques-de-la-transition-vers-la-neutralite-carbone","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/enjeux-economiques-de-la-transition-vers-la-neutralite-carbone\/","title":{"rendered":"The economic challenges of the transition to carbon neutrality"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class='post-container'>\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">In January 2025, the French Treasury published the final version of its report on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tresor.economie.gouv.fr\/Articles\/fe03c69a-9590-4368-b95e-ed761a023f53\/files\/5e8fa818-5c7d-48f5-aa60-c9ce4057b6b7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the economic challenges of the transition to carbon neutrality<\/a>, an in-depth analysis of the economic consequences of decarbonisation. According to the report, the low-carbon transition in France represents a challenge of surmountable scale and moderate duration for economic growth, with significant but manageable effects on public finances. Above all, the costs of decarbonisation are much lower than those that would result from climate inaction.<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"598\" height=\"845\" src=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF2_DGTresor_NetZero_couv.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-104385\" style=\"width:300px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF2_DGTresor_NetZero_couv.jpg 598w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF2_DGTresor_NetZero_couv-212x300.jpg 212w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF2_DGTresor_NetZero_couv-520x735.jpg 520w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF2_DGTresor_NetZero_couv-320x452.jpg 320w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF2_DGTresor_NetZero_couv-142x200.jpg 142w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF2_DGTresor_NetZero_couv-540x763.jpg 540w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF2_DGTresor_NetZero_couv-425x600.jpg 425w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF2_DGTresor_NetZero_couv-396x560.jpg 396w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 598px) 100vw, 598px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"gs-container in-content-also\">\n  <div class=\"gs-row u-flex u-align-items-start\">\n    <div class=\"gs-flush-column @lg:-push-1 @lg:gs-column-7 @wd:gs-column-6 @wd:gs-push-2\">\n      <p>Along the same lines as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.uk\/government\/publications\/net-zero-review-final-report\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>Net Zero Review <\/em><\/a>conducted by the UK\u2019s HM Treasury, this report examines the key economic challenges of the transition to carbon neutrality for the French economy. It addresses macroeconomic and sectoral dimensions and outlines the challenges for businesses, the labour market, foreign trade, households and public finances. It draws on analyses conducted as part of the government\u2019s ecological planning strategy, economic literature and analysis of available data, and draws lessons from international comparisons to identify best practices and potential pitfalls to be avoided in the transition to climate neutrality.<\/p>\n<p>In the long term, therefore, climate change mitigation policies bring benefits compared to a scenario of inaction (no cost of avoided disasters, productivity gains from low-carbon technologies, improved security of supply and energy sovereignty, better quality of life and health, etc.). To achieve this, however, we need public policy leadership and a substantial financial effort: the additional investment needed to achieve carbon neutrality is estimated at \u20ac110 billion by 2030, compared with 2021 (see graph below).<\/p>\n\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"gs-flush-column @lg:gs-column-5 @wd:gs-column-4 u-flex u-align-items-start u-sticky article-card\">\n      <div class=\"wrapper u-width-100% u-flex-column u-relative\">\n        <span class=\"c-red t-base-small u-margin-b-2\">Voir aussi<\/span>\n        <div class=\"card card--post \">\n  <div class=\"masonry-item item-withImage\">\n          <span class=\"u-margin-b-2 u-block card--post__image\">\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/le-triptyque-decarbonation-efficacite-energetique-sobriete-dans-les-scenarios-de-transition-energetique\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"598\" height=\"366\" src=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/shutterstock_2473297577.jpg\" class=\"u-img center-landscapeImg\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/shutterstock_2473297577.jpg 598w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/shutterstock_2473297577-300x184.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/shutterstock_2473297577-320x196.jpg 320w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/shutterstock_2473297577-200x122.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/shutterstock_2473297577-540x331.jpg 540w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 598px) 100vw, 598px\" \/><\/a>\n  <\/span>\n        <span class=\"t-post-5 u-margin-b-1 u-block c-red\">\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/le-triptyque-decarbonation-efficacite-energetique-sobriete-dans-les-scenarios-de-transition-energetique\/\">The decarbonation \/ energy efficiency \/ sobriety triptych in energy transition scenarios<\/a>\n              <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/themes\/futurible\/dist\/images\/pay_circle.svg\" class=\"v-align-sub u-margin-l-1 icon-pay\"\/>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/le-triptyque-decarbonation-efficacite-energetique-sobriete-dans-les-scenarios-de-transition-energetique\/\" class=\"button-rounded  bg-red c-white u-margin-l-1\">\n      <svg class=\"u-icon-24 c-white u-flex u-align-items-center u-justify-content-center\">\n  <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/themes\/futurible\/dist\/images\/icon-lib.svg?version022025#arrow-right\"><\/use>\n<\/svg>\n    <\/a>\n  <\/span>\n          <div class=\"metas t-base-x-small u-flex u-flex-wrapping\">\n      <div class=\"u-margin-r-3 u-margin-t-1\">19 December 2024<\/div>\n                        <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/author-analyst\/le-bec-antoine\/\" class=\"u-margin-r-3 u-margin-t-1 t-underline\">LE BEC Antoine<\/a>\n                            <div class=\"u-margin-t-1\">\n                      8 min.\n                  <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"tags u-flex u-flex-wrapping u-align-items-start\">\n              <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/category\/signposts\/\" class=\"button tag border c-red t-base-small\">\n          <svg class=\"u-icon-16 u-margin-r-1\">\n  <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/themes\/futurible\/dist\/images\/icon-lib.svg?version022025#icon-eye\"><\/use>\n<\/svg>\n\n          Signposts\n        <\/a>\n                              <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/tag\/environnement-en\/\" class=\"button tag t-base-small\">Environment<\/a>\n                  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/tag\/science-et-technique-en\/\" class=\"button tag t-base-small\">Science and Technology<\/a>\n                  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/tag\/societe-en\/\" class=\"button tag t-base-small\">Society<\/a>\n                  <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"@lg:gs-column-8 u-margin-auto\">\n\n\n<div class=\"image-caption-component u-block  double-left-text\">\n  <div class=\"gs-container image-caption\">\n          <div class=\"wrapper\">\n        <p class=\"caption t-base\">\n          \n        <\/p>\n        <p class=\"caption-title t-weight-700\">\n          Additional climate investment needs in the French national long-term decarbonisation strategy in a provisional AMS scenario* (in billions of euros per year)\n        <\/p>\n      <\/div>\n        <div class=\"image-caption-component__img\">\n      <img decoding=\"async\" width=\"950\" height=\"542\" src=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF_EnjeuxTransition_GRAPH_EN-950x542.jpg\" class=\"u-img\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF_EnjeuxTransition_GRAPH_EN-950x542.jpg 950w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF_EnjeuxTransition_GRAPH_EN-300x171.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF_EnjeuxTransition_GRAPH_EN-1024x584.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF_EnjeuxTransition_GRAPH_EN-768x438.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF_EnjeuxTransition_GRAPH_EN-815x465.jpg 815w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF_EnjeuxTransition_GRAPH_EN-320x182.jpg 320w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF_EnjeuxTransition_GRAPH_EN-200x114.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF_EnjeuxTransition_GRAPH_EN-540x308.jpg 540w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF_EnjeuxTransition_GRAPH_EN-700x399.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF_EnjeuxTransition_GRAPH_EN-650x371.jpg 650w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/AF_EnjeuxTransition_GRAPH_EN.jpg 1103w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px\" \/>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n  <div class=\"image-caption-component-legende\">\n    <p>*AMS: <em>absence de mesures suppl\u00e9mentaires<\/em> \/ absence of additional measures.<br \/>\n<em>Source: <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tresor.economie.gouv.fr\/Articles\/fe03c69a-9590-4368-b95e-ed761a023f53\/files\/cb49c821-cd94-4e52-8c5f-2f07af7b6600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">summary slides presenting the report<\/a>, DG Tr\u00e9sor , p. 10.<\/p>\n\n  <\/div>\n\n\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"gs-container in-content-also\">\n  <div class=\"gs-row u-flex u-align-items-start\">\n    <div class=\"gs-flush-column @lg:-push-1 @lg:gs-column-7 @wd:gs-column-6 @wd:gs-push-2\">\n      <p>The report sets out the reasons why incentivising public action is necessary, and stresses the importance of international coordination on climate issues to mitigate the costs of the transition. Given the state of public spending in France, a large part of the investment must come from the private sector (the report offers a comparative table of sustainable finance instruments). The authors then show that the transition has very different effects on different households (depending on their income, where they live etc.) and list a series of targeted support and financial aid measures.<\/p>\n<p>Another key point is that the French manufacturing industry has succeeded in decoupling its greenhouse gas emissions from its production, and is ahead of the rest of the world in terms of decarbonisation. Finally, several thematic or sectoral chapters are proposed (further decarbonisation of the energy system, transport, agriculture, housing, challenges in terms of jobs, public finances, further adaptation, etc.).<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tresor.economie.gouv.fr\/Articles\/fe03c69a-9590-4368-b95e-ed761a023f53\/files\/cb49c821-cd94-4e52-8c5f-2f07af7b6600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">presentation document <\/a>(available in English, 75 p.) provides a fine overview of all the economic issues involved in the transition. And for a more detailed, highly detailed analysis, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tresor.economie.gouv.fr\/Articles\/fe03c69a-9590-4368-b95e-ed761a023f53\/files\/5e8fa818-5c7d-48f5-aa60-c9ce4057b6b7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the full report <\/a>(only in French, 260 p.) is a mine of information; an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tresor.economie.gouv.fr\/Articles\/fe03c69a-9590-4368-b95e-ed761a023f53\/files\/f9073406-887e-4acf-bb1f-f9ff998ee38c\">executive summary in English<\/a> can be downloaded.<\/p>\n\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"gs-flush-column @lg:gs-column-5 @wd:gs-column-4 u-flex u-align-items-start u-sticky article-card\">\n      <div class=\"wrapper u-width-100% u-flex-column u-relative\">\n        <span class=\"c-red t-base-small u-margin-b-2\">Voir aussi<\/span>\n        <div class=\"card card--post \">\n  <div class=\"masonry-item item-withImage\">\n          <span class=\"u-margin-b-2 u-block card--post__image\">\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/comprendre-2050-nouvel-outil-pedagogique-sur-les-scenarios-de-transition-ecologique\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"598\" height=\"366\" src=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/AF4_Comprendre2050_site.jpg\" class=\"u-img center-landscapeImg\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/AF4_Comprendre2050_site.jpg 598w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/AF4_Comprendre2050_site-300x184.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/AF4_Comprendre2050_site-320x196.jpg 320w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/AF4_Comprendre2050_site-200x122.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/AF4_Comprendre2050_site-540x331.jpg 540w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 598px) 100vw, 598px\" \/><\/a>\n  <\/span>\n        <span class=\"t-post-5 u-margin-b-1 u-block c-red\">\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/comprendre-2050-nouvel-outil-pedagogique-sur-les-scenarios-de-transition-ecologique\/\">Comprendre 2050, nouvel outil p\u00e9dagogique sur les sc\u00e9narios de transition \u00e9cologique<\/a>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/comprendre-2050-nouvel-outil-pedagogique-sur-les-scenarios-de-transition-ecologique\/\" class=\"button-rounded  bg-red c-white u-margin-l-1\">\n      <svg class=\"u-icon-24 c-white u-flex u-align-items-center u-justify-content-center\">\n  <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/themes\/futurible\/dist\/images\/icon-lib.svg?version022025#arrow-right\"><\/use>\n<\/svg>\n    <\/a>\n  <\/span>\n          <div class=\"metas t-base-x-small u-flex u-flex-wrapping\">\n      <div class=\"u-margin-r-3 u-margin-t-1\">27 February 2025<\/div>\n                        <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/author-analyst\/le-bec-antoine\/\" class=\"u-margin-r-3 u-margin-t-1 t-underline\">LE BEC Antoine<\/a>\n                            <div class=\"u-margin-t-1\">\n                      4 min.\n                  <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"tags u-flex u-flex-wrapping u-align-items-start\">\n              <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/category\/actualite-du-futur\/\" class=\"button tag border c-red t-base-small\">\n          <svg class=\"u-icon-16 u-margin-r-1\">\n  <use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/wp-content\/themes\/futurible\/dist\/images\/icon-lib.svg?version022025#icon-news\"><\/use>\n<\/svg>\n\n          Actualit\u00e9 du futur\n        <\/a>\n                              <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/tag\/economie\/\" class=\"button tag t-base-small\">\u00c9conomie<\/a>\n                  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/tag\/environnement\/\" class=\"button tag t-base-small\">Environnement<\/a>\n                  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/tag\/societe\/\" class=\"button tag t-base-small\">Soci\u00e9t\u00e9<\/a>\n                  <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"@lg:gs-column-8 u-margin-auto\">\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span class=\"image-caption-component-legende\"><em>Reference: <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tresor.economie.gouv.fr\/Articles\/fe03c69a-9590-4368-b95e-ed761a023f53\/files\/5e8fa818-5c7d-48f5-aa60-c9ce4057b6b7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>Les Enjeux \u00e9conomiques de la transition vers la neutralit\u00e9 carbone<\/em><\/a><em>, <\/em>Direction g\u00e9n\u00e9rale du Tr\u00e9sor, January 2025, 260 p.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2013 <br \/><span class=\"image-caption-component-legende\"><em>N.B.: this article has been translated from French by DeepL, and revised by the author and Futuribles.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In January 2025, the French Treasury published the final version of its report on the economic challenges of the transition to carbon neutrality, an in-depth analysis of the economic consequences of decarbonisation. According to the report, the low-carbon transition in France represents a challenge of surmountable scale and moderate duration for economic growth, with significant &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/enjeux-economiques-de-la-transition-vers-la-neutralite-carbone\/\">Continued<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":104389,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_robots_follow":"","_seopress_robots_imageindex":"","_seopress_robots_snippet":"","_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_robots_breadcrumbs":"","_seopress_robots_freeze_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_custom_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_canonical":"","_seopress_social_fb_title":"","_seopress_social_fb_desc":"","_seopress_social_fb_img":"","_seopress_social_fb_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_height":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_title":"","_seopress_social_twitter_desc":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_height":0,"_seopress_redirections_value":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled_regex":"","_seopress_redirections_logged_status":"both","_seopress_redirections_param":"","_seopress_redirections_type":301,"_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[136],"tags":[133,202,212],"keyword":[1251,1016,849,975,859,949],"class_list":["post-111041","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-of-the-future","tag-economie-et-emploi-en","tag-environnement-en","tag-societe-en","keyword-transition-en","keyword-conditions-economiques-en","keyword-energie-en","keyword-financement-en","keyword-france-en","keyword-industrie-en"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111041"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111041\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":111048,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111041\/revisions\/111048"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/104389"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111041"},{"taxonomy":"keyword","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/keyword?post=111041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}