Société, modes de vie

Cette page regroupe l'ensemble des publications de Futuribles sur cette thématique (Vigie, revue, bibliographie, études, etc.)

Bibliography

Société, modes de vie - Territoires, réseaux

Cyberphobia : Identity, Trust, Security and the Internet

Cyberphobia: Identity, Trust, Security and the Internet

Dans Cyberphobia, Edward Lucas, journaliste qui publie dans The Economist, défend la thèse que notre dépendance à l’Internet et au cloud grandit plus vite que notre capacité à détecter et éviter les attaques cyber. À moins de changer drastiquement nos comportements, nos organisations, nos business models et nos administrations, il ne lui semble pas possible de vivre de façon sûre et fiable à l’ère des machines, des objets connectés et du big data. Ce livre permettra à tous ...

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Population - Société, modes de vie

La progression des foyers multigénérationnels aux États-Unis

Plus de 60 millions d’Américains, soit 19 % de la population des États-Unis, vivent dans un foyer multigénérationnel. On entend par là un ménage au sein duquel se trouvent au moins deux générations adultes de la même famille (des parents avec leurs jeunes enfants devenus adultes, des adultes avec leurs parents devenus dépendants) ou bien des grands-parents vivant avec leurs petits-enfants. En 1950, 21 % des Américains vivaient dans une telle situation, sous le même toit. Pendant toute la période d ...

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Recherche, sciences, techniques - Société, modes de vie - Territoires, réseaux

What Prospects for Connected Devices and The Internet of Things Between Now and 2025 ?

Based on a Foresight AnalysisTechnologies of connectivity and the Internet of Things have developed rapidly in the last five years, and the rise of the connected device market is not in doubt where the specialist consultancies are concerned. These very rapid developments are attracting the interest of industrialists, users and the public authorities. But beyond a number of quantitative projections, there are few studies offering systemic foresight thinking on possible developments in this sector.Based on this finding, Futuribles ...

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Analyse prospective

Recherche, sciences, techniques - Société, modes de vie - Territoires, réseaux

Quelles perspectives pour les objets connectés et l’Internet des objets à l’horizon 2025 ?

Les technologies des objets connectés et de l’Internet des objets se sont rapidement développées ces cinq dernières années, et l’essor du marché des objets connectés ne fait guère de doute aux yeux des cabinets spécialisés. Ces évolutions très rapides suscitent l’intérêt des industriels, des utilisateurs et des pouvoirs publics. Mais au-delà de quelques projections quantitatives, il existe peu de travaux proposant des réflexions prospectives et systémiques sur les évolutions possibles de ce secteur. Partant de ce constat ...

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Bibliography

Recherche, sciences, techniques - Société, modes de vie

Anteversion, What We Must Remember about the Future. Between Science and Fiction

Anteversion, What We Must Remember about the Future. Between Science and Fiction

Based on a review by Cécile Wendling We have here a foresight study that takes quite a surprising form. In just a few pages, Dider Schmitt, a former member of the Bureau of European Policy Advisors (BEPA) at the European Commission, offers a number of thoughts and brief stories as pathways to a window on the future. Each of these ends with a little drawing reflecting its content. The book is, in a way, a stylistic exercise on the future ...

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Revue

Société, modes de vie - Territoires, réseaux

Smart Cities, Between Utopia and Experimentation

While elsewhere in this dossier Carlos Moreno shows how the “smart city” represents a new paradigm for utopian thought, Jean-François Soupizet goes into detail here on what smart cities actually are today. After a historical reminder of the origin of this fashionable concept, he analyses the many –technological, organizational, political etc.– issues inherent in the data worked on by cities and in the so-called “smart” management of that data. He then outlines various ongoing experiments relating to smart cities, before examining a series of questions that are crucial to the thinking about them: are smart cities useful, do they optimize partnerships, do they improve local governance? The future of this new urban model will surely depend on answers to these questions and on the capacity of smart cities to open up to all their stakeholders.

Revue

Société, modes de vie - Territoires, réseaux

Urban Smartness or Algorithmic Cities? What Scope for New Utopias?

For some years, “smart cities” have aroused a great deal of interest, particularly in a context of renewed concern with towns and cities, which provide the optimal experimental scale when it comes to ecological transition and resilience to climate change. Though there is no unanimously accepted definition, “smart cities” nonetheless have widely recognized characteristics: reconciling economic development, a reduced environmental footprint and improvement of the quality of life of city-dwellers by drawing on available –and, particularly, digital– technologies. Given these objectives, plans for smart cities belonged for a long time to the category of urban utopias. However, with rapid technological advance and a growing awareness of the need for ecological transition, utopia has gradually been caught up by reality.

In this article, Carlos Moreno shows us how urban “smartness” represents a new paradigm for utopian thinking and may offer a real opportunity for our urban areas and their citizens to evolve. He also stresses the importance of not confining ourselves to a focus on the technological dimension and contributing to the emergence of human smart cities.

Revue

Société, modes de vie - Territoires, réseaux

The Prototype City: Or How the Countries of the South are Reinventing Urbanism

As the Habitat III international conference to be held at Quito in October 2016 is in preparation (following the conferences of Vancouver in 1976 and Istanbul in 1996, it will lay down the United Nations road map for urban development over the next twenty years), one thing is clear: solutions for the city of tomorrow are no longer to be sought solely from among the developed countries, but increasingly from the cities of the South. Those cities, with populations that are increasing rapidly and should continue to do so in the coming decades, are offering a new approach to urbanism: namely prototype urbanism, an approach that is less theoretical and more experimental. Morgan Poulizac outlines its mechanisms for us here (responding –often urgently– to the social demand with the means that happen to be to hand) and provides various examples from the African, Asian and South American continents.

Revue

Société, modes de vie - Territoires, réseaux

Utop, an Ongoing Utopian Housing Project in Paris

As Jean Haëntjens stressed in his article at the beginning of this special issue, we have, since the 1970s, seen the emergence of new urban projects, coming not from visionary theorists but increasingly from associations, collectives, companies or citizens who have decided to take the future of their city in hand. Marthe de La Taille-Rivero outlines one of these initiatives here, the work of a collective of Paris citizens who are carrying out a project in participatory living. She shows how a utopian vision of housing shared between friends is about to become reality, since, after surmounting a series of administrative, financial and technical hurdles, the Utop project has been approved by the Paris city authorities and translated into an architectural project that is both environmentally friendly and mindful of the need to connect with the residents of the area. If everything goes according to plan, the housing complex should be in place in two years’ time, lending substance to a new form of urban utopia.

Revue

Société, modes de vie - Territoires, réseaux

The Darwin Urban Ecosystem: From “Territorial Hacking” to a New Model of Co-producing the City?

Jean-Marc Gancille and Philippe Barre give an account here of the urban eco-system they have played a part in developing in Bordeaux on the wasteland left by an abandoned military barracks. After rehearsing the history of their “takeover” of the site, they show how their project fits into a long-term perspective, combining local traders, co-working, culture, leisure activities, an urban farm and other ecological experiments against a background of alternative citizen culture. It is all about another way of seeing and conceiving urban space, and particularly of putting ecological transition into practice, a notion that has been much talked about in France but has struggled to find wide-scale implementation. And, despite the obstructions and resistance that continue, on a regular basis, to hamper this process of urban creation, the site is expanding, activities and employment are growing, and the ecosystem is developing after the fashion of the Darwinian evolution of species: it is adapting and progressing.

Revue

Société, modes de vie - Territoires, réseaux

Utopia, Artists and the City

Whereas the earliest utopias and those of the 19th century grant only limited scope to art and culture, we have since the late 1960s seen the emergence or re-emergence of genuine artistic utopias that have, in the their way, contributed to the evolution of the city. This is shown in this article by Stéphanie Lemoine, which forms part of this special issue on urban utopias. Whether in the form of ephemeral events or the mobilization of “flash mobs” against a counter-cultural or revolutionary political backdrop, urban-artistic utopias are more and more common and increasingly represent alternative propositions capable of fuelling the cultural dimension of urban policies.

Bibliography

Recherche, sciences, techniques - Société, modes de vie

La Postmodernité à l’heure du numérique. Regards croisés sur notre époque

La Postmodernité à l’heure du numérique. Regards croisés sur notre époque

Le surgissement du numérique au cœur de notre quotidien et les questions qu’il pose avec son lot de transformations et de bouleversements des rapports sociaux, tel est l’objet de cet ouvrage rendant compte de la rencontre de deux grands penseurs qui questionnent les principales interrogations et peurs contemporaines nées de cette révolution numérique. Une fois la lecture de ce livre achevée, on ne sait dire si c’est le livre d’une seule rencontre ou alors un livre ...

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Bibliography

Recherche, sciences, techniques - Société, modes de vie

Antéversion, ce qu’il faut retenir du futur. Entre science et fiction

Antéversion, ce qu’il faut retenir du futur. Entre science et fiction

Voici un ouvrage de prospective assez surprenant sur la forme ! Didier Schmitt, ancien membre du bureau des conseillers de politique européenne à la Commission européenne, livre des pensées ou de courtes histoires sur quelques pages comme autant de brèves pistes pour ouvrir une fenêtre sur l’avenir. Chacune d’elles se conclut par un petit dessin, à l’image de son contenu. Ce livre est en quelque sorte un exercice de style sur le futur et la façon de le ...

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Société, modes de vie - Territoires, réseaux

Une France de plus en plus rurale ?

Les enquêtes dans ce domaine se succèdent, pour mieux se renforcer : une majorité de Français affirment qu’ils aimeraient vivre à la campagne [1]. Cette aspiration, qui tend à croître avec l’âge, apparaît comme une réponse aux inconvénients ressentis de la vie en ville : pollution, insécurité, bruit, coût de la vie, etc. Pourtant, selon les données de l’INSEE (Institut national de la statistique et des études économiques), 77,5 % des Français sont aujourd’hui urbains. Mais ce taux ...

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Bibliography

Recherche, sciences, techniques - Société, modes de vie

Le Transhumanisme. Faut-il avoir peur de l’avenir ?

Le Transhumanisme. Faut-il avoir peur de l’avenir ?

Ce bref ouvrage, préfacé par Luc Ferry, se veut une introduction à la question transhumaniste, en forme de balayage de son histoire, de ses courants, des questions philosophiques et prospectives soulevées, et des oppositions suscitées. Contrairement à de nombreux ouvrages directement ou indirectement consacrés au sujet, il ne s’agit donc pas d’un livre à thèse, pro ou contra, ni d’une étude centrée sur un aspect particulier (la mort, l’eugénisme ou encore la robotisation). Il occupe donc ...

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Société, modes de vie

Lifestyles based on Localness and Slowness ?

Based on a note by Cécile Désaunay 80% of people in France, Germany, Spain and America view their pace of life as too fast! This is one of the findings of a survey commissioned by the ‘Forum Vies Mobiles’ (an independent research institute on mobility supported by the French national rail operator, SNCF) on people’s aspirations in the area of lifestyles and their impacts on mobility. The survey covers six countries: France, Spain, Germany, the USA, Japan and Turkey ...

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Société, modes de vie - Territoires, réseaux

Des modes de vie centrés sur la proximité et le ralentissement ?

Le Forum vies mobiles est un institut autonome de recherche et d’échanges sur les mobilités soutenu par la SNCF (Société nationale des chemins de fer français). Il s’intéresse en particulier aux aspirations dans le domaine des modes de vie et à leurs impacts sur la mobilité, et a commandé à l’Obsoco (Observatoire société et consommation) une enquête sur ce sujet [1]. Plus de 12 000 personnes ont été interrogées dans six pays : France, Espagne, Allemagne, États-Unis, Japon ...

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Bibliography

Institutions - Société, modes de vie

Temps et politique. Les recompositions de l’identité

Temps et politique. Les recompositions de l’identité

Ce livre est tiré d’un séminaire tenu à la Fondation des Treilles (Var) en mai 2014, qui a réuni une dizaine de spécialistes abordant, chacun avec sa grille de lecture, la question de l’identité politique. Politologues, philosophes, historiens et même une psychologue clinicienne s’interrogent sur les recompositions du sujet — dans sa dimension politique — au fil de la vie, qui est toujours le même et qui pourtant devient un autre. Le champ couvert est très large, avec des ...

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Ressources naturelles, énergie, environnement - Société, modes de vie

Plus d’autoconsommation d’électricité dans le logement ?

En France, environ 300 000 logements sont équipés de panneaux solaires photovoltaïques, soit à peine 1 % des ménages, mais leur nombre augmente régulièrement [1]. Le marché a notamment été dynamisé par les tarifs de rachat attractifs de l’électricité par EDF (Électricité de France) : 95 % des installations réinjectent leur production dans le réseau national [2]. L’autoconsommation est donc pour l’instant une pratique minoritaire en France [3], contrairement à d’autres pays comme l’Allemagne ou les États-Unis [4 ...

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Futurs d'antan

Recherche, sciences, techniques - Société, modes de vie

The Origins of the Word “Transhumanism”

An increasing number of books and articles have appeared in recent years on the theme of transhumanism, prompted by the extremely rapid scientific and technical progress that seems to bode well for proponents of this school of thought. Transhumanism, which was popularized in North America in the 1960s (by, among others, Ray Kurzweil) and particularly in the 1980s (when a movement of significant scale formed around these ideas), advocates the use of science and technology to improve the physical and mental characteristics of human beings and hence push humanity beyond the human condition in the narrow sense. The term “transhumanism” is not, however, a recent one, as Olivier Dard and Alexandre Moatti show in this ‘Futures of Yesteryear’ feature: it goes back, at least, to the 1930s and might even predate the 20th century. This article looks at the semantic origins of the term and the authors who presided over its emergence, enabling us to put a fashionable concept back into context.

Revue

Ressources naturelles, énergie, environnement - Société, modes de vie

The Environment through the Prism of Science Fiction: From Dystopia to the Reconstruction of the Man-Nature Relation in Post-Ecological Societies

In this Summer 2016 issue, Futuribles has launched an extended series on the relations between science fiction and foresight studies and, particularly, science fiction’s contribution to that discipline, in order to determine whether —and to what extent— science fiction authors have influenced the collective imaginary and our thinking about the future. This article by Corinne Gendron and René Audet is the third instalment in the first part of this series and covers the contributions of science fiction to the field of the environment.

As the authors begin by demonstrating, science fiction enables us to go beyond the usual theoretical frameworks and project ourselves into very different worlds wholly at variance with the present one. Regarding relations with the environment, it thus offers various representations of the possible lines of development of the man-nature relationship that attest to the complexity of that relationship but also reference possible ecological dangers and breakdowns. More concretely, Gendron and Audet go on to propose six variant scenarios of “post-ecological” society taken from modern science fiction: a ravaged nature, pockets of civilization, artificial worlds (in response to ecological disaster), terraforming/bioengineering, cyber-nature and a symbiosis inspired by the myth of Gaia. In conclusion, they highlight the crucial role of science fiction for foresight studies as a “laboratory of the future”, enabling the full scope of the human imagination to be mobilized and making it possible, in a sense, even to think and depict the impossible.

Revue

Économie, emploi - Institutions - Société, modes de vie

Testing Out the Future through Science Fiction: Extending the Scope of the Possible, Pre-Fabricated Worlds and “Lines of Flight”

As Gérard Klein points out at the beginning of his article in this same issue on “The Invention of the Future”, Futuribles has decided to undertake an extended series on the relations between science fiction and foresight studies and, particularly, science fiction’s contribution to that discipline, in order to determine whether —and to what extent— science fiction authors have influenced the collective imaginary and our thinking about the future.

This article by Yannick Rumpala comes at these questions from a socio-political angle: what contributions has science fiction made to reflection on the future of societies and their organization? With this approach, he demonstrates, in the first instance, the extent to which works of science fiction enable possibilities to be explored, thus expanding the scope of what is feasible. He then analyses the way these works open up the “cone” of possibilities, mainly by creating worlds in which the parameters of our social organization can be varied, new ones introduced, and “the cards reshuffled”, including with respect to matters that affect the human species in its deepest nature. Lastly, he highlights a major contribution by science fiction authors to thinking on the future of our societies: the exploration of “lines of flight” that we may —or may not— choose to follow: as, for example, when they explore what the political order might look like “after the state” or when, at the socio-economic level, they visualize a post-work society. In this sense, science fiction lays before us a varied range of future possibilities, some plausible and others not (or not yet), some attractive and others repellent, but all decidedly capable of fuelling our thinking on the future.

Revue

Recherche, sciences, techniques - Société, modes de vie

The Invention of the Future: Foresight and Science Fiction

As the main French journal devoted to foresight studies and to reflection on the future of the contemporary world, Futuribles has always been careful to distinguish foresight studies, based on more or less rigorous methods and on data, from other future-related works more akin to fiction. And yet, if only through its “Futures of Yesteryear” feature, it also makes room for thought and work of a more literary nature —utopian or science fiction writings— comparing these, in some cases —a certain time after their publication— with reality as it actually transpired. To take this exercise a stage further, we have decided to initiate an extended series on science fiction’s relations with —and contributions to— foresight studies, in order to determine whether —and to what extent— science fiction authors have influenced foresight thinking and the collective imaginary.

It is Gérard Klein, one of the most widely acknowledged French experts in the field of science fiction, who opens the first strand in this series with an article that aims to give a general overview of the contributions of science fiction to thinking on the future from roughly the 19th century onwards. In this “Invention of the Future”, Klein shows how many futuristic and science fiction works there have been, the wealth of themes covered, and the contribution made by these writings to works involving projection into a more or less near future, whether they be utopias, dystopias, counterfactual histories or instances of historical “foresight” properly so-called. He also stresses the difficulty and ambiguity involved in attempting to discern, within these old works of science fiction, projections of a future that will assume meaning only decades later (the realization of which the authors and their contemporaries could not, therefore, really anticipate). Even going so far, at the end of his article, as to venture a predictive study of science fiction, Klein offers a rich analysis of the works of science fiction, compared with the realities which actually ensued in various areas of life —areas which will be examined in more specific articles (on political, social, environmental, technical aspects etc.) later in this series.

Analyse prospective

Population - Société, modes de vie

États-Unis : démographie dynamique et cohésion sociale problématique

Alors que le continent européen fait face à un vieillissement croissant de sa population et doit compter sur les flux migratoires pour maintenir ses équilibres démographiques à moyen-long terme, les États-Unis, à l’inverse, continuent de faire preuve d’un dynamisme démographique que beaucoup estiment enviable. Et certes, comme le montre ici Julien Damon, la croissance démographique américaine se porte bien, ce qui constitue un facteur positif pour les évolutions socio-économiques à venir ; néanmoins, le profil de la population américaine ...

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Document étude

Société, modes de vie

Les Aliments-Santé, intervention de Pierre Feillet

Présentation de Pierre Feillet sur les Aliments-Santé à la réunion Vigie alimentation du 18 novembre 2015

Chapitre Société, modes de vie

Ce chapitre est extrait du Rapport Vigie 2016 de Futuribles International, qui propose un panorama structuré des connaissances et des incertitudes des experts que l'association a mobilisés pour explorer les évolutions des 15 à 35 prochaines années sur 11 thématiques.